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Reproducible Geocomputation for Policy-Relevant Research and Tools

CASA, UCL, London

Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds

2022-07-13

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Session plan

1 Introduction to my work and previous tools

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Session plan

1 Introduction to my work and previous tools

2 New and emerging tools

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Session plan

1 Introduction to my work and previous tools

2 New and emerging tools

3 Live demo and testing: ActDev

4 Coding and questions

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1 Introduction to me and my research

Further info: https://www.robinlovelace.net/

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We have 5 research groups

Working with TASM

Links with WYCA

Academic input

Sarah Sharples

Data can make a difference

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Where I am now: PCT used by many in government

Too much data?

A nice problem to have?

Data historically a limiting factor

New approaches needed to tackle 'big noise'

Boyce, D.E., Williams, H.C.W.L., 2015. Forecasting Urban Travel: Past, Present and Future.

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Too much data?

A nice problem to have?

Data historically a limiting factor

New approaches needed to tackle 'big noise'

Boyce, D.E., Williams, H.C.W.L., 2015. Forecasting Urban Travel: Past, Present and Future.

Lovelace, Robin, Mark Birkin, Philip Cross, and Martin Clarke. 2016. ‘From Big Noise to Big Data' https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.12081.

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  • For most of the history of transport planning data scarcity has been a major concern
  • Now we have an abundance of datasets, many of them incompatible
  • Concrete example: OD to WPZ data in central London (could ask if anyone knows, it's a mess hehe)

Problems worthy of your time

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Problems worthy of your time

Ideas

Hackathons

Active travel

Road safety policy

Post COVID recovery

Levelling up metrics

Nature recovery networks

Citizen science and data literacy

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Climate change: The elephant in the room

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What is climate change? And how does it related to open source software?

It's great to be able to talk about climate change upfront. Usually it's behind the scenes.

To solve problems you need to talk about them.

Everyone including the elephant knows that climate change means the world is getting warmer.

But fewer people talk about 'global drying' and likely impacts such as sudden sea level rise that can only be described as catastrophic

As with health, the most solutions tackle the root causes of the problem. So what is the root cause of the problem? We can go back a few steps...

Climate change is caused by emissions.

Emissions are (primarily) caused by combustion of fossil fuels

But what causes that? Energy consumption.

What causes energy use? Demand for energy intensive things, transport, manufacturing

Example: Climate change, what data science can bring

Emotive and potentially polarising issue

Data can provide a shared starting point

Nationally scenarios are vital

Locally, visions, trust, buy-in and participation are key

1800190020000.0e+005.0e+091.0e+101.5e+102.0e+10
AfricaAsiaEuropeInternational transportNorth AmericaOceaniaSouth AmericaYearEmissions
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The Downward trend during coronavirus saw emissions drop by ~10%

The scale of the challenge is to reduce emissions by 10% every year, every year, and the challenge gets hard with each year

That means: we need transformational

Existing tools: The Propensity to Cycle Tool

  • Early prototype of the tool developed at Open Data Institute Leeds hackathon, 2015
  • National deployment of the Propensity to Cycle Tool 2 years later (PCT.bike) (Lovelace et al. 2017)

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Key aspects of the PCT

  • Based on open source code
  • Based on open data
  • Results published as open data
  • Publicly available web application encourages participation and evidence-based debate

Open data and accessible results lead to participation. See https://twitter.com/search?q=cyipt.bike%2Frapid

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Reproducibility and extending the tool

  • Find commuting desire lines in West Yorkshire between 1 and 3 km long in which more people drive than cycle:

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How it works

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Demo of the PCT

Source: https://www.pct.bike/

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Existing tools: the Rapid Cycleway Prioritisation Tool

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2 New and emerging tools

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2 New and emerging tools

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  • Turing Fellowship
  • LIDA internship on open transport infrastructure data
  • Links with DfT, MHCLG, TfNH, international partners

2 New and emerging tools

  • Evidence-based policies in government: Data Science Fellowship at N. 10

  • Future areas of development: Reproducible Bayesian modelling of proportions (Dirichlet regression), Machine Learning, Decarbonisation Agenda

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  • Turing Fellowship
  • LIDA internship on open transport infrastructure data
  • Links with DfT, MHCLG, TfNH, international partners

The future of transport tools

Modular

Future proof

Scalable

Vector/

Raster/

Source: Morgan and Lovelace (2020) Implementation: stplanr

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The future of transport tools

Modular

Future proof

Scalable

Vector/

Raster/

Source: Morgan and Lovelace (2020) Implementation: stplanr

Approach: OD -> Desire Line -> Route -> Route Networks

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So what's the overall approach here?

3 Live demo and testing: ActDev

ActDev: a data driven tool for evidence-based planning

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3 Live demo and testing: ActDev

ActDev: a data driven tool for evidence-based planning

Interactive demo: https://actdev.cyipt.bike/

Talbot, Joseph, et al. 2021. ‘Active Travel Oriented Development: Assessing the Suitability of Sites for New Homes’. https://osf.io/7fuq5/

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The ActDev project: https://actdev.cyipt.bike/

  • A/B Street - R integration, see https://github.com/a-b-street/abstr
  • Give it a try!
    • Find a new housing development that has good active travel provision and potential
      • How could active travel provision be made better?
    • Find a housing development that has poor active travel provision
      • How could active travel provision be improved, based on the data?
      • Should new houses be built in this location?
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Discussion: scalability vs resolution

Source: UKRI CREDS project repo

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Also complexity vs simplicity and readability

Making transport data come to life

Source: Lovelace, Tennekes, Carlino (2022)

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4 Coding and questions

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Thanks!

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Thanks!

References

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Thanks!

References

Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J., 2017. The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. Journal of Transport and Land Use 10. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2016.862

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Thanks!

References

Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J., 2017. The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. Journal of Transport and Land Use 10. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2016.862

Morgan, M., Lovelace, R., 2020. Travel flow aggregation: nationally scalable methods for interactive and online visualisation of transport behaviour at the road network level. Environment & Planning B: Planning & Design. https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808320942779

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Thanks!

References

Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J., 2017. The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. Journal of Transport and Land Use 10. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2016.862

Morgan, M., Lovelace, R., 2020. Travel flow aggregation: nationally scalable methods for interactive and online visualisation of transport behaviour at the road network level. Environment & Planning B: Planning & Design. https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808320942779

Lovelace, R., Tennekes, M., Carlino, D., 2021. ClockBoard: a zoning system for urban analysis. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/vncgw

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Thanks!

References

Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J., 2017. The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. Journal of Transport and Land Use 10. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2016.862

Morgan, M., Lovelace, R., 2020. Travel flow aggregation: nationally scalable methods for interactive and online visualisation of transport behaviour at the road network level. Environment & Planning B: Planning & Design. https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808320942779

Lovelace, R., Tennekes, M., Carlino, D., 2021. ClockBoard: a zoning system for urban analysis. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/vncgw

Lovelace, Robin, Rosa Félix, and Dustin Carlino. “Jittering: A Computationally Efficient Method for Generating Realistic Route Networks from Origin-Destination Data.” OSF Preprints, January 13, 2022. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/qux6g.

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Session plan

1 Introduction to my work and previous tools

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